In the leadup to the 2008 election, I cast my predictions for each state’s electoral vote as well as for the individual Congressional and gubernatorial races. Of over five hundred races, I missed only nine in my predictions (though the Minnesota Supreme Court has yet to confirm one of them). And because I’m a giant nerd, I had fun doing all of that.
So here are my predictions for the 2010 midterm elections, based on recent polling and the current pool of candidates. In keeping with convention, Republican names are in red and Democratic names are in blue. I fully expect that these predictions will change over time as new issues arise, new candidates enter races and the like.
As with 2008, I intend to consider these predictions closed 24 hours ahead of the votes being cast, and allow history to vindicate or repudiate my analysis.
For my political blog posts, click here. Or by all means stay and read the non-political posts too. 
Now on to the predictions!
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[...] 2010 Elections [...]
I think Virginia’s Gubernatorial Race is going to be a bit of a mess. As of right now, it looks like Terry McAuliffe is pulling ahead, but I’m not certain he has what he needs to win all of Virginia. He doesn’t have the charm Governor Kaine had.
Still.. it’s a ways away and we’ll see. One year before the presidential election we all thought it would be Hillary vs. Rudy, and we all know how THAT turned out..
@simgod
McAuliffe has the benefit of friends in high places, of course, and perhaps a Bill Clinton charm offensive can compensate for the areas where McAuliffe is lacking, but I wouldn’t yet count Deeds or Moran out of the running for the Dems’ nomination.
As it currently stands, it may come down to which Dem has the best shot at beating Bob McDonnell.